Vurdering av Enovas utløsende effekt

Rapport 2010/14

Karin Ibenholt og Ingeborg Rasmussen

Vurdering av Enovas utløsende effekt

Kategori	Rapporter
Underkategori(er)	n/a
År	2010
Rapportnummer	14
Forfatter(e)	Karin Ibenholt Ingeborg Rasmussen
Last ned	file_download (1.0 MB)
Les i nettleser	find_in_page

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"608+0#(9!&:!;(/:&$!6%)<$+(8+!+==+>%!Vista Analyse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e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ystemsvikt brukes også som begrep. I denne sammenheng har vi definert systemsvikt som en form for mar-kedssvikt som hovedsakelig kan tilskrives brist på forutsetningen om full informasjon 2 Drøftingen i dette avsnittet er forankret i samfunnsøkonomisk teori og identifiserte barrierer og drivkrefter hentet fra energiutvalget og energimeldingen. Konklusjonen og oppsummeringen av de viktigste barrierene er evaluators (Vista Analyses) vurdering av hvilke barrierer som på et generelt grunnlag er de viktigste å adressere i arbeidet med energiomlegging. Barrierene sammenfaller med viktige barrierer som er identifisert i flere studier der barrierer og potensialer innenfor spesifikke områder er studert.

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"608+0#(9!&:!;(/:&$!6%)<$+(8+!+==+>%!Vista Analyse AS 26 5(>((&1*(1&-.L-.%C.?! 8+%%+! .0/90&77+%! J&0! ;(/:&! 9U%%! I/0%! =0&! =/076)+0#(9+(! /7!&%!$%<%%+(!$>&)!I#80&!%#)!U!9#!.0/$N+>%+%!+(!b9/8>N+(%b!&:>&$%(#(9T!/9! #! $%+8+%! #((=<0%! $%<%%+$&%$+0! .0L! >:&80&%7+%+0! /..:&07+%!&0+&)L! "608+0#(9+(! &:! J:#)>+(! $%<%%+! $/7! >0+:+$! =/0! U! 6%)<$+!.0/$N+>%+(+! +0! #=<)9+! .0/90&7%+>$%+(! 9N/0%! .U! +%! 9+(+0+)%!906(()&9L!!W&>$#7&)! $%<%%+! .0L! >:&80&%7+%+0! +0! $%<00+!=/0!.&$$#:J6$!Z[c2EC22! >0471T! &:J+(9#9! &:! %*.+! I*99\! +((!=/0!)&:+(+09#J6$!Z3c2EF22! >0471\c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bH0#%+0#+0! =/0! .&$$#:J6$E!/9!)&:+(+09#I*99!f!j0>+$I*99b!Z,#(%+=!@*99=/0$>!.0/$N+>%0&../0%!51T!122B\!=/0!*0>+$I*99L!G/0!0+J&I#E!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!5 NS 3700 definerer to nivå, klasse 1 og 2 for lavenergiboliger: Enova gir ikke støtte til lavenergihus klasse 2.

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"608+0#(9!&:!;(/:&$!6%)<$+(8+!+==+>%!Vista Analyse AS 54 0+%+! 6(8+0$<>+)$+0! J/$! ;(/:&! /9! I)&(%! $<>+0+! /9! %#)E$>688$7/%%&>+0+L!!M"+ ;)0'&4A'-7(%2=-)*>*.$''40'0'*-&*(3/F20)70*0GG0%3N*K.L-"3-*%%&-..K+%! +0! =#0+! .0/90&77+0! $/7! $/0%+0+0! 6(8+0! +(+09#.0/86>E$N/(FX!!• G/0(*I&0!:&07+!Z[LCDB!P^JT!!1L211!W>0\!• G/0(*I&0!>0&=%.0/86>$N/(!Z3L5Dc!P^JT!3Lc5F!W>0\!• A&%609&$$!Z[L[Bc!P^JT!35D!W>0\!• A*!%+>(/)/9#!ZcF!P^JT!1c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bM6I)#`! ,+0:#`+! QI)#9&E%#/($b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• ':>&$%(#(9+(!Z#(>)68+0%!$%<%%+\!I+90+($+$!%#)!D!.0/$+(%!0+&)0+(%+!=<0!$>&%%!• H/(>600&($+>0#%+0#+%!I+(*%%+$!7+8!>/$%(&8$+==+>%#:#%+%!#!=/0J/)8!%#)!+(+09#0+$6)%&%!$/7!J/:+8>0#%+0#+!• K+%!+0!/..9#%%!J:/0!$%/0!&(8+)!&:!8+!$&7)+8+!9/8>N+(%+!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!6 Aggregerte energiresultat og disponeringer 2001-2009 korrigert for sluttrapportere og kansellerte prosjekt i parentes. Tallene (med unntak av naturgass) er hentet fra tabell 2 i Enovas Resultatrapport, 2009.

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"608+0#(9!&:!;(/:&$!6%)<$+(8+!+==+>%!Vista Analyse AS 63 6%+(!U!#(>)68+0+!&))+!&8=+08$+(80#(9+(+!%#)%&>+%!>&(!=/0:+(%+$!U!7+8=<0+L!aPL(2%*+a.$(4"-%2'3.$(4"-)-&')&..H/7.)+>$#%+%+(! #! $&77+(J+(9+0! /9! 6%=/080#(9+0! >(*%%+%! %#)!.0/$N+>%&:90+($(#(9+0! /9! I&$+)#(+=/06%$+%(#(9+0! 9N<0! 8+%!$:V0%! >0+:+(8+! U! 6%=/07+! %0+==$#>0+! $+)+>%#:+! :#0>+7#8)+0! =/0!U! 6%)<$+! +(+09#0+86$+0+(8+! %#)%&>L! -#$#>/+(! =/0! 90&%#$.&$$&$N+E0+0! /9! /:+0>/7.+(&$N/(! :#)! 9N+((/79U+(8+! :V0+! J<*L! ;==+>E%+(! .U! 8+%! $&7)+8+! +(+09#=/0I06>+%! =/0! $%<%%+7/%%&>+0! $U! :+)!$/7! 8+! $&7)+8+! 7&0>+8$+==+>%+(! >&(! J&! $%<00+! +))+0! 7#(80+!I+%*8(#(9! =/0! +(+09#0+$6)%&%+%! 8+(! $.+$#=#>>+! $%<%%+(! =&>%#$>!6%)<$+0L! _)#>+! +7.#0#$>+! &(&)*$+0! :#$+0! &%! 8+%! +0! $%/0+! $+>%/0E:#$+! :&0#&$N/(+0! 7J%! +(+09#+==+>%+(! &:! +(+09#+==+>%#:#$+0#(9$E%#)%&>BL!Q&"-2."%."L(2%*+.0&;1#*('2'3.W+8! 6%9&(9$.6(>%! #! %+/0#+(! =/0! /.%#7&)! I+$>&%(#(9! /9! &(80+!$#%6&$N/(+0! 8+0! &>%<0+(+! I+$)6%(#(9+0! &:J+(9+0! &:! 0&77+I+E%#(9+)$+0! Z#(>)68+0%! $%<%%+/08(#(9+0\! =&$%)&9%! &:! 8+%! /==+(%)#9+T!I<0! $%<%%+/08(#(9+0! 6%=/07+$! 6(8+0! J+($*(%&>+(! %#)! :#0>(#(9E+(! .U! &>%<0+(+$! %#).&$(#(9L! g/! $%+0>+0+! +%! :#0>+7#88+)!$>&.+0!6J+)8#9+!%#).&$(#(9+0T!N/!7+0!=/0$#>%#9!I<0!8+%!8/$+0+$L!g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b.)6(8+0! /9! J+=%b! :+8! /7)+99#(9+0! :#)! I+90+($+! J:/0! $%/0! +=E=+>%!$/7!>&(!/..(U$!9N+((/7!#(=/07&$N/(L!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!9 Se blant annet analyser basert på MSG i Sverre Grepperud og Ingeborg Rasmussen: Rebound Effects . Energy Economics, Volume 26, Issue 2, March 2004, pages 261-282

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Metadata Found
Author
Ingeborg Rasmussen
Producer
Mac OS X 10.6.4 Quartz PDFContext
CreationDate
2010-09-06T12:26:12+00:00
ModDate
2010-09-06T12:26:12+00:00
Pages
73